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Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
WH

Larnaca
0 - 2
West Ham

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Antonio (36', 45+1')
Downes (68'), Kehrer (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: AEK Larnaca 1-3 West Ham United

On some level, Moyes will feel that this is one of the most important matches of his reign, the pressure on his players to deliver when his job is at risk. However, the Hammers should have too much firepower for one of the minnows remaining in this competition, potentially laying the foundations for a comfortable second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawWest Ham United
39.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.66% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 33.72% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)53.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.057000000000002 0.06)74.78% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)29.8% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.070999999999998 0.07)65.88% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 39.62%
    West Ham United 33.72%
    Draw 26.65%
AEK LarnacaDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 3-3 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-0 Larnaca
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 West Ham
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 4-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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