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Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
0 - 0
Larnaca


Peglow (56'), Hayner (61'), Hutsuliak (76')
FT

Angel (13'), Tomovic (63'), Pons (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Dnipro-1 0-1 AEK Larnaca (AEK Larnaca win 2-0 on aggregate)

Although they made hard work of the home leg, AEK Larnaca will fancy themselves as a stronger outfit than their playoff opponents, particularly given how much more competitive football they have played recently, and although Dnipro-1 should again make it tough, we back Oltra's side to advance with another narrow win on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
41.48% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 31.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.174 -0.17)53.5% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98% (-0.147 -0.15)75.02% (0.149 0.15)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)25.45% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)60.27% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.13 -0.13)31.17% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)67.5% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 41.48%
    AEK Larnaca 31.89%
    Draw 26.62%
Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-1 Dnipro-1
Monday, November 28 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-1 Shakhtar
Saturday, November 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 1-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, November 13 at 12.20pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 1-3 Dnipro-1
Wednesday, November 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 3-1 Minai
Sunday, November 6 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 3-3 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-0 Larnaca
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Larnaca
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League


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