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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

Newtown
1 - 2
Spartak Trnava

Williams (35' pen.)
Walker (3'), Ismail (10'), Sutton (38'), Wharton (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stefanik (73'), Bukata (79')
Dyjan (11'), Kozak (71'), Bukata (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Newtown AFC 0-2 Spartak Trnava

There is a significant chasm between these two clubs and the Slovakians should have far too much for their opponents once more. With the Welsh side having to go for it, the goal threat of Yusuf and Ivan could prove too much for them to handle with there likely to be plenty of open spaces for the duo to exploit in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawSpartak Trnava
42.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.34% (0.0039999999999978 0) 33.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 63.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.22% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)22.58% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)56.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 42.87%
    Spartak Trnava 33.78%
    Draw 23.33%
Newtown AFCDrawSpartak Trnava
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 33.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Torshavn (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torshavn 1-0 Newtown
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 New Saints
Monday, April 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Newtown
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 12 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, August 5 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sepsi 1-1 Spartak Trnava (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-0 Sepsi
Thursday, July 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 2-0 Mosta
Thursday, July 15 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League


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