Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
