Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.
