Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bala Town in this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
44.58%	24.74%	30.68%

Both teams to score 56.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01%

45.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71%

68.29%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3%

20.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7%

53.3%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78%

28.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08%

63.91%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 44.58%

Newtown AFC 30.68%

Draw 24.73%

Bala Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.58%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.68%