Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Bournemouth
59.75% ( -0.01)	19.85% ( 0.01)	20.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.45% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.38% (

-0.02)

32.61% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.72% (

-0.02)

54.28% (

0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

-0.01)

10.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.27% (

-0.02)

34.72% (

0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.01)

28.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-0.01)

64.78% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 59.75%

Bournemouth 20.4%

Draw 19.85%

Aston Villa	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 59.75%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.85%	1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.4%