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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
AV

Arsenal
0 - 2
Aston Villa


White (36'), Magalhaes (45'), Havertz (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailey (84'), Watkins (87')
Rogers (14')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
67.29% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 18.34% (0.149 0.15) 14.37% (0.065 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.74% (-0.385 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.577 -0.58)36.62% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.22% (-0.632 -0.63)58.78% (0.637 0.64)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.205 -0.2)10.02% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.92% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)33.08% (0.486 0.49)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)38.05% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.277 -0.28)74.82% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 67.29%
    Aston Villa 14.37%
    Draw 18.34%
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 7.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 67.29%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Arsenal
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Porto (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Ajax
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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