SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
67.29% ( -0.21) | 18.34% ( 0.15) | 14.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.58) | 36.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.63) | 58.78% ( 0.64) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0.2) | 10.02% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.92% ( -0.48) | 33.08% ( 0.49) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.28) | 38.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% ( -0.28) | 74.82% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.05% Total : 67.29% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.37% |
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