SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Paide had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.92%) and 0-1 (5.91%). The likeliest Paide win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paide | Draw | Hacken |
29.98% ( 0.19) | 21.7% ( -0.01) | 48.32% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 67.56% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.17) | 31.86% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.6% ( 0.19) | 53.39% ( -0.2) |
| Paide Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.2) | 21.64% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 0.3) | 54.76% ( -0.3) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( 0) | 13.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( 0) | 41.1% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paide | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.32% |
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