SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 60.07%. A win for Paide had a probability of 21.66% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Paide win was 1-2 (5.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Paide |
| 60.07% | 18.26% | 21.66% |
| Both teams to score 71.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.94% | 42.06% |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.21% | 7.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.32% | 27.67% |
| Paide Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% | 55.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Paide |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.75% 4-1 @ 4.59% 1-0 @ 4.37% 4-2 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.34% 5-2 @ 1.77% 4-3 @ 1.75% 5-0 @ 1.55% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 4.78% Total : 60.07% | 1-1 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 6.4% 3-3 @ 2.75% 0-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.26% | 1-2 @ 5.01% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-1 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-2 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 1.04% 0-3 @ 0.99% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.66% |
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