Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stjarnan | Draw | Paide |
32.3% ( -0.22) | 22.4% ( 0.01) | 45.3% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 66.23% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.87% ( -0.14) | 34.12% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.99% ( -0.16) | 56% ( 0.15) |
Stjarnan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.54% ( -0.19) | 21.45% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.52% ( -0.29) | 54.48% ( 0.28) |
Paide Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.32% ( 0.02) | 15.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.27% ( 0.04) | 44.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Stjarnan | Draw | Paide |
2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.3% |
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