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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Samsung vollurinn

Stjarnan
2 - 1
Paide

Atlason (24', 73')
Mar Kjartansson (62'), Brink (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kristal (54' pen.)
Baranov (22'), Ceesay (45'), Medic (70')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Stjarnan and Paide.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Stjarnan
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Paide 1-1 Bala Town
Thursday, July 18 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
StjarnanDrawPaide
32.3% (-0.218 -0.22) 22.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.3% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 66.23% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.87% (-0.143 -0.14)34.12% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.99% (-0.16 -0.16)56% (0.154 0.15)
Stjarnan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)21.45% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)54.48% (0.283 0.28)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)15.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stjarnan 32.3%
    Paide 45.3%
    Draw 22.4%
StjarnanDrawPaide
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.23% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.017 0.02)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 45.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Stjarnan
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stjarnan 2-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bohemians 3-0 Stjarnan
Thursday, July 15 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stjarnan 1-1 Bohemians
Thursday, July 8 at 8.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stjarnan 1-3 Espanyol
Thursday, August 1 at 8.15pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Espanyol 4-0 Stjarnan
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Paide 1-1 Bala Town
Thursday, July 18 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Paide
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 B36 Torshavn
Thursday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: B36 Torshavn 0-0 Paide
Wednesday, July 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-0 Paide
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, August 4 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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