SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paide would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paide | Draw | Stjarnan |
49.04% ( 11.26) | 21.67% ( -2.18) | 29.3% ( -9.08) |
| Both teams to score 67.19% ( 5.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.86% ( 7.97) | 32.14% ( -7.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.27% ( 8.75) | 53.73% ( -8.75) |
| Paide Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( 7.72) | 13.66% ( -7.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.15% ( 13.51) | 40.84% ( -13.51) |
| Stjarnan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -1.1) | 22.18% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.41% ( -1.69) | 55.59% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paide | Draw | Stjarnan |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.69) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.92)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 6% ( 1.71)3-2 @ 4.52% ( 1.17)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 1.23)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 1.33)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.96)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.92)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.68)4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.46)Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -1.74) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.31)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -1.48)3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.53)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -1.59) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -2.45)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -2.03)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.94)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -1.11)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.41)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.3% |
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