SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Flint Town | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paide would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Paide |
32.82% ( -0.1) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 41.08% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( 0.08) | 51.13% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( 0.07) | 72.98% ( -0.07) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( -0.02) | 29.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( -0.03) | 65.34% ( 0.03) |
| Paide Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.1) | 24.59% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0.14) | 59.08% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Paide |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.07% |
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