SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ilves |
52.72% ( 0.1) | 22.92% ( -0.03) | 24.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.08) | 42.32% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.08) | 64.73% ( -0.09) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.06) | 16.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( 0.12) | 45.47% ( -0.12) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( -0.01) | 30.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( -0.02) | 67.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ilves |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.72% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 24.36% |
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