SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Haka had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Haka |
55.16% ( 0.02) | 22.08% ( 0.1) | 22.77% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( -0.62) | 40.17% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( -0.64) | 62.54% ( 0.65) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( -0.2) | 14.5% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( -0.4) | 42.51% ( 0.41) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( -0.44) | 31.14% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( -0.52) | 67.47% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.77% |
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