SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
57.49% ( 0.17) | 22.06% ( -0.09) | 20.46% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( 0.31) | 43.01% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( 0.31) | 65.41% ( -0.31) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( 0.16) | 14.72% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.08% ( 0.31) | 42.92% ( -0.31) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.11) | 34.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( 0.11) | 71.62% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.46% |
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