SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Panevezys win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panevezys | Draw | The New Saints |
17.69% ( -0.03) | 20.31% ( -0.03) | 61.99% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.67% ( 0.08) | 39.32% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.08) | 61.66% ( -0.08) |
| Panevezys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.02) | 35.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.59% ( 0.02) | 72.41% ( -0.02) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% ( 0.04) | 12.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.17% ( 0.08) | 37.83% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panevezys | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.69% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 61.99% |
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