Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 58.16%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
Result | ||
Ferencvaros | Draw | The New Saints |
58.16% (![]() | 20.61% (![]() | 21.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.84% (![]() | 35.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.83% (![]() | 57.16% (![]() |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.03% (![]() | 11.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.64% (![]() | 37.35% (![]() |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% (![]() | 29.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% (![]() | 65.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros | Draw | The New Saints |
2-1 @ 9.72% (![]() 2-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 9.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 5.57% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.23% |
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