Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.54%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rennes in this match.