Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Bosuilstadion

Antwerp
2 - 0
Lillestrom

(Royal Antwerp win 5-1 on aggregate)

Valencia (11'), Verstraete (69')
Janssen (66'), Verstraete (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Andre Helland (81'), Svendsen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Royal Antwerp and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Royal Antwerp 2-1 Lillestrom

Lillestrom are under more pressure to come out on top in this one, but a trip to Antwerp represents a very tough assignment for the Norwegian outfit. We fancy the home side to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.

Result
Royal Antwerp	Draw	Lillestrom
40.73% ( -0)	25.67%	33.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

-0.01)

49.13% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

-0.01)

71.2% (

0.01)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0.01)

23.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

-0.01)

58.07% (

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.01)

27.88% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

-0.01)

63.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Royal Antwerp 40.73%

Lillestrom 33.59%

Draw 25.67%

Royal Antwerp	Draw	Lillestrom
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.73%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.59%