SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Derry | 40 | 1.60 | Hoban |
| 2 | Waterford | 33 | 1.43 | Amond |
| 3 | Shamrock | 31 | 1.35 | Kenny |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 28 | 1.17 | Jarvis |
| 5 | Sligo | 25 | 1.09 | Chapman |
| 6 | St Patrick's | 24 | 0.96 | Keating |
| 7 | Bohemians | 22 | 1.05 | Akintunde |
| 8 | Drogheda | 22 | 0.96 | Pierrot |
| 9 | Galway United | 18 | 0.82 | Walsh |
| 10 | Dundalk | 13 | 0.57 | Gullan |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Joseph's had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Joseph's win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Joseph's |
50.46% ( 0.05) | 25.03% ( 0) | 24.51% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( -0.04) | 51.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( -0.04) | 73.05% ( 0.04) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 0.01) | 20.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% | 52.67% ( 0) |
| St Joseph's Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -0.06) | 35.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -0.07) | 72.44% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Joseph's |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.46% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.51% |
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