SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Bohemians | 19 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 19 | -7 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 19 | -10 | 21 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 19 | -28 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Finn Harps |
54.32% ( 0.58) | 24.97% ( -0.13) | 20.7% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( -0.01) | 54.65% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -0.01) | 75.98% ( 0) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.23) | 20.09% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% ( 0.37) | 52.34% ( -0.37) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.47) | 41.28% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( -0.42) | 77.81% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.32% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.7% |
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