SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Airbus UK Broughton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bala Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 23 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 21 | -1 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
45.02% ( -0.01) | 24.08% ( 0.02) | 30.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( -0.08) | 42.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.08) | 65.29% ( 0.08) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( -0.04) | 19.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.04% ( -0.06) | 50.95% ( 0.06) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.05) | 26.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -0.06) | 61.74% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.89% |
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