SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 23 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 21 | -1 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 21 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 20 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
48.18% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( -0) | 24.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.79% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.2% ( 0) | 60.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( 0) | 80.84% ( -0.01) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.01) | 25.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( 0.01) | 60.19% ( -0.01) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% ( -0) | 41.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% ( -0) | 77.83% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 14.37% 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.21% Total : 24.2% |
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