SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | Honka |
30.86% ( -0) | 28.74% | 40.4% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% ( 0) | 61.51% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% ( 0) | 81.37% ( -0) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% | 36.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.11% | 72.89% |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0) | 29.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0) | 65.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tobol | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.86% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 13.02% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.4% |
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