SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Tobol |
| 65.3% | 21.13% ( -0) | 13.56% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.02) | 50.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.02) | 72.61% ( -0.02) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.01) | 14.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.97% ( 0.02) | 43.03% ( -0.01) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.02) | 48.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.74% ( 0.02) | 83.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Tobol |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 65.29% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.81% Total : 13.56% |
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