SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (4.12%).
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Tobol |
71.86% ( 0.83) | 18.49% ( -0.45) | 9.65% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.05% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.78) | 49.42% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.7) | 71.46% ( -0.7) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( 0.47) | 12.41% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.69% ( 0.97) | 38.31% ( -0.97) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.73% ( -0.3) | 54.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.56% ( -0.18) | 87.44% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Tobol |
| 2-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 71.85% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.49% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.65% Total : 9.65% |
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