SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Tobol win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | Basel |
36.63% ( 0) | 24.82% | 38.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0) | 44.83% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( -0) | 67.19% ( 0) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0) | 24.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% | 58.37% |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -0) | 23.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( -0) | 56.91% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tobol | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.55% |
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