Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Tobol	Draw	Derry City
34.79%	28.51%	36.71%

Both teams to score 46.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.89%

60.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.68%

80.33%

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41%

32.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87%

69.14%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65%

31.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28%

67.72%

Score Analysis

Tobol 34.78%

Derry City 36.71%

Draw 28.5%

Tobol	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.78%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.71%