Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tobol would win this match.