SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tobol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Tobol |
32.65% ( 0.12) | 25.01% ( -0.04) | 42.34% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.2) | 46.46% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.19) | 68.74% ( -0.19) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.17) | 27.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.22) | 62.58% ( -0.22) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0.05) | 21.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( 0.08) | 55.19% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Tobol |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.34% |
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