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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
5 - 0
Austria Vienna

Baena (18'), Danjuma (43'), Luis Morales (76', 80', 88')
Capoue (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kreiker (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Villarreal 4-1 Austria Vienna

Given their rampant form in the Conference League so far, up against a side who have struggled lately, we expect Villarreal to take their opportunity to get back on the goals trail. Even with rotations, a strong, deep squad should be enough to sweep their Austrian opposition aside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAustria Vienna
57.3% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 24.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 18.09% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.145 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.099000000000004 0.1)56.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.080000000000002 0.08)77.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.61% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)51.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (0.183 0.18)45.28% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (0.143 0.14)81.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.29%
    Austria Vienna 18.09%
    Draw 24.61%
VillarrealDrawAustria Vienna
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Villarreal
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 1-2 Villarreal
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Villarreal 4-0 Elche
Sunday, September 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, July 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-1 Breidablik
Thursday, July 22 at 5pm in Europa Conference League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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