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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
E

Villarreal
4 - 0
Elche

Moreno (26'), Lo Celso (36'), Coquelin (89'), Luis Morales (90+4')
Jackson (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Guti (43'), Milla (59'), Roco (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Elche

Villarreal will be bidding to return to winning ways after dropping points against Getafe, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to triumph here. Elche are capable of making it a tough game, but the visitors could fall just short at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawElche
73.07% (0.60199999999999 0.6) 17.34% (-0.263 -0.26) 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 43.36% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.157 0.16)44.73% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.15 0.15)67.1% (-0.151 -0.15)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.2 0.2)10.77% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24% (0.444 0.44)34.76% (-0.445 -0.45)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.59% (-0.594 -0.59)51.41% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (-0.401 -0.4)85.62% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 73.06%
    Elche 9.59%
    Draw 17.34%
VillarrealDrawElche
2-0 @ 13.74% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.148 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.34%
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-2 Villarreal
Thursday, August 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Atletico 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Real Valladolid 0-3 Villarreal
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-4 Villarreal
Saturday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Almeria
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Betis 3-0 Elche
Monday, August 15 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Sunday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Atletico
Wednesday, May 11 at 8.30pm in La Liga


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