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Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Villarreal
4 - 2
Hajduk Split

Luis Morales (14', 36'), Livaja (19' og.), Moreno (45+1')
Baena (32'), Mandi (82')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Biuk (2'), Fossati (85' pen.)
Livaja (13'), Sahiti (35'), Awaziem (72'), Lovrencsics (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Hajduk Split
Wednesday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Hajduk Split

While we are yet to see whether Villarreal will truly prioritise building a run in Europe's third competition, they should still have more than enough to beat Hajduk Split on home turf. Emery has plenty of quality throughout his squad if he opts to rotate, and their array of attacking talent will likely overpower the Croatian visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawHajduk Split
59.6% (0.149 0.15) 25.1% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 15.31% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 37.97% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.38% (-0.459 -0.46)61.62% (0.46 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.54% (-0.342 -0.34)81.46% (0.343 0.34)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.128 -0.13)20.77% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (-0.202 -0.2)53.41% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (-0.576 -0.58)52.07% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (-0.379 -0.38)86.05% (0.379 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 59.58%
    Hajduk Split 15.31%
    Draw 25.09%
VillarrealDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 16.99% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 13.35% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.81% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 2.84% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Valladolid 0-3 Villarreal
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-4 Villarreal
Saturday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Villarreal
Friday, July 22 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Hajduk Split
Wednesday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 4-1 Hajduk Split
Thursday, July 29 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-0 Tobol
Thursday, July 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Hajduk Split
Thursday, September 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Renova 0-1 Hajduk Split
Thursday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Europa League


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