Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino
Lombardi (35'), Pecci (72'), Rizzo (90+6')
FT
Hussar (40'),
Soomets (59'), Kuraksin (72')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Virtus and Flora.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Virtus had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Virtus win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Virtus | Draw | Flora |
24.19% ( 0.01) | 22.01% ( -0.01) | 53.8% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.05) |
| 61.72% ( 0.06) | 38.28% ( -0.06) |
| 39.44% ( 0.07) | 60.56% ( -0.06) |
| 71.08% ( 0.04) | 28.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.05) | 64.79% ( -0.05) |
| 85.7% ( 0.02) | 14.3% ( -0.02) |
