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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
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Brentford
3 - 2
West Ham

Maupay (11'), Mavropanos (55' og.), Collins (69')
Ajer (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kudus (19'), Bowen (26')
Palmieri (11'), Soucek (52'), Moyes (53'), Mavropanos (62'), Ings (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
43.79% (-0.566 -0.57) 25.15% (0.269 0.27) 31.06% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.72% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (-1.055 -1.06)47.64% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (-0.983 -0.98)69.84% (0.982 0.98)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.702 -0.7)21.75% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-1.081 -1.08)54.93% (1.08 1.08)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.328 -0.33)28.79% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.412 -0.41)64.64% (0.411 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 43.79%
    West Ham United 31.06%
    Draw 25.15%
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.217 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.269 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Brentford
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Everton
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Everton
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-1 West Ham
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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