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A
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
B

Ajax
4 - 0
Besiktas

Fitz-Jim (31'), Godts (51', 73'), Taylor (55')
Fitz-Jim (21'), Hato (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erhan Hekimoglu (45+1'), Onana (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Ajax
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Eyupspor
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ajax 2-2 Besiktas

Ajax have won back-to-back home matches by an aggregate scoreline of 8-0 recently, although the visit of Besiktas should pose a much sterner test for the Dutch giants on Thursday. The Black Eagles are unbeaten this season, and we expect that run to extend to nine matches in Amsterdam, but it is likely that they will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawBesiktas
55.87% (2.653 2.65) 21.76% (-0.697 -0.7) 22.36% (-1.957 -1.96)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (1.05 1.05)39.2% (-1.054 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (1.091 1.09)61.54% (-1.093 -1.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.05% (1.218 1.22)13.95% (-1.22 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.57% (2.349 2.35)41.43% (-2.351 -2.35)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-1.066 -1.07)30.95% (1.063 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-1.267 -1.27)67.25% (1.265 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 55.88%
    Besiktas 22.36%
    Draw 21.76%
AjaxDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.313 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.328 0.33)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.431 0.43)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.29 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.319 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.119 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.163 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.338 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Ajax
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 5-0 Sittard
Wednesday, September 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-4 Ajax
Thursday, August 22 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 18 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Panathinaikos (12-12 pen.)
Thursday, August 15 at 7.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Eyupspor
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, September 15 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-0 Sivasspor
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 5-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 22 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 4-2 Antalyaspor
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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