SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Besiktas |
55.87% ( 2.65) | 21.76% ( -0.7) | 22.36% ( -1.96) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( 1.05) | 39.2% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( 1.09) | 61.54% ( -1.09) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( 1.22) | 13.95% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.57% ( 2.35) | 41.43% ( -2.35) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -1.07) | 30.95% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( -1.27) | 67.25% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.43)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.36% |
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