Both sides have looked strong in front of goal at the start of this season, so we could be in for a contest filled with final-third action. However, considering the form of Besiktas and the strength that they have throughout their squad, we believe that they will find a way to prevail in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Besiktas
40.98%	24.2%	34.82%

Both teams to score 60.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86%

42.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46%

64.54%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28%

20.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67%

53.32%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98%

58.02%

Score Analysis

Lugano 40.98%

Besiktas 34.82%

Draw 24.19%

Lugano	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.98%	1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.82%