Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
62.83%	20.94%	16.22%

Both teams to score 51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16%

44.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81%

67.19%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.34%

13.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.16%

40.84%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28%

40.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7%

77.3%

Score Analysis

Braga 62.82%

Rayo Vallecano 16.22%

Draw 20.94%

Braga	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 6.57% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.86% Total : 62.82%	1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.94%	0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.24% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.22%