SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
44.78% ( -0.04) | 23.46% ( -0.01) | 31.75% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.39% ( 0.05) | 39.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.04% ( 0.05) | 61.96% ( -0.05) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 0) | 18.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( 0) | 48.92% ( -0) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( 0.06) | 24.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( 0.08) | 58.82% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.75% |
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