Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
30.52% ( -0.09) | 24.68% ( 0.01) | 44.8% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.05% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% ( -0.07) | 45.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( -0.07) | 68.11% ( 0.07) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% ( -0.09) | 28.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% ( -0.12) | 63.93% ( 0.12) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0) | 20.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.01) | 53.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.8% |
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