Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.5) 
-0.15) 
