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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
AM

Villarreal
0 - 2
Atletico


Costa (32'), Albiol (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedraza (25' og.), Felix (69')
Felipe (35'), Lemar (45+5'), Niguez (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
26.04%25.51%48.45%
Both teams to score 51.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05%51.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31%73.69%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5%71.5%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53%54.47%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 26.04%
    Atletico Madrid 48.45%
    Draw 25.51%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.04%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 11.48%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 8.84%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.45%

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