SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Malmo |
51.46% ( -0.04) | 22.79% ( 0.01) | 25.75% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.03) | 40.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( -0.03) | 62.76% ( 0.03) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( -0.04) | 44.99% ( 0.05) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.01) | 28.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.01) | 64.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.46% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 25.75% |
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