SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Diosgyor win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Diosgyor |
73.56% ( 0.03) | 16.47% ( 0.01) | 9.97% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.49% ( -0.23) | 39.51% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.14% ( -0.24) | 61.85% ( 0.24) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( -0.05) | 9.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.65% ( -0.12) | 31.35% ( 0.12) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.82% ( -0.25) | 47.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.37% ( -0.19) | 82.62% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 2-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 73.56% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.47% | 0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 9.97% |
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