Feyenoord will be keen to get themselves back on track by securing all three points in front of their fans. We are backing them to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes, albeit by only a narrow margin.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.