This game could certainly go either way, and Sturm Graz should be going all out for an equaliser and a winner on home turf, but we think the Ukrainian side have enough to hold their opponents and maintain an aggregate lead.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.04) 
