Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.