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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Amartey (58')
Tielemans (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moses (51')
Sobolev (59'), Moses (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.82%) and 3-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSpartak Moscow
47.11%20.49%32.4%
Both teams to score 73.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.58%24.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.85%44.15%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81%36.19%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28%16.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38%46.61%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 47.11%
    Spartak Moscow 32.4%
    Draw 20.49%
Leicester CityDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 5.2%
2-0 @ 4.49%
1-0 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-2 @ 2.82%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-3 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 7.41%
2-2 @ 7.19%
3-3 @ 3.1%
0-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 6.63%
2-3 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-1 @ 3.41%
0-2 @ 3.05%
2-4 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.77%
3-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 32.4%

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