Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.